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Drift and change control

A workflow can change while its model name stays the same. Tools, prompts, retrieval data, permissions, routing, reviewers, and policy rules all influence behaviour. A baseline must name the versions and operating conditions it describes. STABLE

Element Required question
Baseline Which approved workflow, release, population, and period?
Measurement What signal, instrument, sampling, denominator, and missingness?
Threshold Why does this change require attention?
Context Could traffic mix, workload, or detector changes explain it?
Response Who investigates, pauses, rolls back, or approves an exception?
Closure What evidence establishes that the corrective action worked?

This is an operational checklist, not a validated actuarial model. STABLE

After a retrieval update, escalations rise. Three explanations remain live: the knowledge base introduced bad content; more complex customer cases arrived; or the detector became more sensitive. A rising alert rate alone cannot select among them. Keep comparable release slices, investigate representative examples, and observe whether remediation changes the failure path. STABLE

The same discipline applies to tool-selection drift, newly available actions, changed human review, and missing receipts. A sudden fall in blocks can mean safer activity, a disabled control, or traffic bypassing the measurement point. STABLE

The first useful use of drift evidence may be an investigation or loss-control review. Eligibility, conditions, limits, pricing changes, cancellation, and claims decisions require insurer authority and the applicable contract and law. A dashboard threshold does not amend a policy or trigger a payout. STABLE

Measure whether a pilot helps reviewers recognise and resolve specified changes. Treat a predicted reduction in losses as a hypothesis until supported by suitable exposure and outcome data. STABLE

Block rate falls after a release while attested action volume also falls. Name two explanations and the extra observation needed to distinguish them.

→ Incident and claims evidence

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